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There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries.New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor.Are bookies better at predicting elections than the national polls? That question has yes and no answers, and to our knowledge has never been determined by a recognized and scientifically controlled study....

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Sports betting sites will take your action (where it is legal to bet on such things) and the odds are all over the place in a way you would never see in such contests as the Super Bowl or a footie match with reams of stats and plenty of known commodities; in fact it’s a game where a dart throw to pick the winner could pay off handsomely.” Not only can a hedge betting system NOT beat a game like craps, but it also won’t even dent the house edge.4%, lower by laying odds) of higher quality....

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In 1933, Wilson Mizner lay dying.New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market....

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New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor.Sports betting sites will take your action (where it is legal to bet on such things) and the odds are all over the place in a way you would never see in such contests as the Super Bowl or a footie match with reams of stats and plenty of known commodities; in fact it’s a game where a dart throw to pick the winner could pay off handsomely. Democrat leaning Indies can choose the republican they are most sure their desired nominee will trounce in the general election and buoy him or her by voting for the other side in the primary, then casting a ballot for their favored party’s nominee in November....

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But the odds are all over the place with Paddy Power favoring Trump at 1/6 and Rubio 4/1, while Betfair is ranking Trump, Kasich, Rubio and Cruz. Here you have the Independent voter who can vote as a Republican or Democrat and that adds some chaos to a mix that already holds the free radical game changing Donald Trump. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market....
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